The Taituarā Financial Management Working Party (FMWP) has commissioned BERL to produce reports that will assist local authorities in their planning.
Forecasts of Price Level Change Adjustors - 2013 Update
Download the 2013 report here
Forecasts of 2010 Price Level Change Adjustors (PDF 343 kb)
Each year Taituarā commissions BERL to produce ten year rolling forecasts of movements in key local authority input costs for local authorities to use when planning. These are released in October (based on the timetable for release of June Quarter economic data).
From this year forward – Taituarā and LGNZ have also commissioned BERL to produce a composite index of costs based on analysis of local authority expenditure patterns – a council rate of inflation if you like.
BERL Forecast Estimates of Household Income
Released on November 2008
BERL Forecast Estimates of Household Income (PDF 1 MB)
This report covers the regional level projected estimates of household income for the period 2009-19. These figures have been derived from the same Computable General Equilibrium model that is used in preparation of the price level adjustors.
There is no presumption or expectation that a council would use these over other data, or that a council must consider these in any discussion around affordability. However many people confuse affordability (or genuine ability to pay) with willingness to pay.
These may be useful for those local authorities who are interested in producing robust information on the affordability of their rates to inform or support their policy judgments.
If you link these estimates with the rate levels in your local authority you have a useful analytical tool.